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SPORTS ARTICLES

NBA Free Pick | Clippers vs. Nuggets | Game 4


The Clippers-Nuggets series really boils down to this - Kawhi Leonard. When he’s on, he might be the best player in the game. Denver isn’t going to beat the Clips with Leonard on his game.

So, the two teams head to Game 4. Denver does not want to fall into the 3-1 hole, though they did against Utah and battled their way back. Against Leonard, coming back from 3-1 might not be possible.

WEEKLY FOOTBALL SQUARES CONTEST IS BACK

Whatever happens, expect the Nuggets to stay in this one and that gives us a clue to today’s free pick.

Game: Los Angeles Clippers (54-26, 46-34 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (51-31, 40-39-3 ATS)

When: 9:00 PM ET, Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Where: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex, Lake Buena Vista, Florida

America’s Bookie Current Line: LAC -8     Total: 220.5

TV Coverage:  ESPN

Denver and L.A. have now played six times this year. The Clippers have won four of those games. The Game 3 victory was the first in which the Clips didn’t win by double digits. 

In those six games, each team is 3-3 ATS. While Los Angeles won Game 3, they did not cover the nine-point spread in a 113-107 victory. The Clips were favored by 9.5 in Game 2 but got beat after Leonard shot just 4-of-13 and finished with just 13 points.

Leonard is the key even though it was Paul George who scored 32 points in the Game 3 win. George, who hits 3.3 three-pointers per game, hit 5-of-7 from long range. Leonard was 9-of-19 and finished with 23 points.

SPORTS BETTING: WHAT IS A PARLAY BETTING?

The Clippers star and reigning NBA Finals MVP shot a blistering 75 percent from the field in Game 1 when he scored 29 points. After the Game 2 disaster, Leonard was a bit better in Game 3 hitting 47.4 percent of his shots.

For Denver, it’s all about Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Jokic leads the Nuggets in points (19.9), rebounds (9.7), and assists (7.0). Murray is the Nuggets leading scorer in the postseason averaging 27.4 points per game.

EDITOR’S CHOICE: BETTING NFL WEEK 1

Murray has really come into his own this postseason, but in the Nuggets’ two losses he scored just 12 and 14 points. He had 27 in Denver’s Game 2 victory. Murray is due for another big game in Game 4.

Denver will have a difficult time beating the Clippers as they have all season, but this NBA free pick isn’t about wins and losses. This is about covering that 8-point spread.

In games this season when Denver was at least a 7.5-point underdog, the Nuggets are 4-2 ATS. Denver is also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.

The Clippers, on the other hand, have been favored by 7.5 points or more quite often in the 2019-20 NBA season. Their record of 18-17 ATS in those games is not all that impressive.

Expect a battle from Denver as they try not to fall into the 3-1 hole and even the series at 2-2. They may not win, but the Nuggets will keep this one close. 

NBA Free Pick: Denver +8





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